Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.673161 17.879047 21.435402 25.647838 30.474999 35.807628 42.117081
2025-10-26 10.275321 14.469970 19.629080 26.327862 34.675325 44.612013 57.202453
2025-11-02 7.451422 11.859249 17.758987 25.988058 36.903282 50.610358 68.820579
2025-11-09 5.747292 10.201596 16.617316 26.115804 39.363284 56.707554 80.594744
2025-11-16 4.464637 8.805046 15.503293 25.971235 41.230382 61.936876 91.331957
2025-11-23 3.393994 7.461283 14.188455 25.268275 42.107329 65.725881 100.188953
2025-11-30 2.857738 6.889336 13.951581 26.084413 45.136993 72.548758 113.388286
2025-12-07 2.243805 6.010502 13.044995 25.695193 46.260760 76.643755 122.889173
2025-12-14 1.844923 5.450397 12.585808 25.944138 48.319186 82.126332 134.513936
2025-12-21 1.365376 4.566617 11.371321 24.738552 47.925020 83.876431 140.734452
2025-12-28 1.161709 4.268686 11.230309 25.385904 50.550532 90.274625 153.982924
2026-01-04 0.968661 3.935103 10.956434 25.742992 52.682723 95.968198 166.343818
2026-01-11 0.793966 3.610303 10.687922 26.160775 55.085596 102.419825 180.465292
2026-01-18 0.665305 3.376355 10.586778 26.903500 58.126637 110.068598 196.786680
2026-01-25 0.506533 2.964886 9.986338 26.561374 59.182624 114.520658 208.276464
2026-02-01 0.400585 2.683298 9.640687 26.691525 61.080033 120.403665 222.178721
2026-02-08 0.306890 2.389567 9.196192 26.544506 62.424112 125.385362 234.773584
2026-02-15 0.218901 2.048763 8.537733 25.829517 62.609101 128.373814 244.218514
2026-02-22 0.184139 1.951010 8.556331 26.659615 65.841351 136.714694 262.612123
2026-03-01 0.133406 1.710204 8.081624 26.263750 66.598722 140.749535 274.021610
2026-03-08 0.103611 1.569031 7.886710 26.516948 68.669129 147.160680 289.540056
2026-03-15 0.064466 1.290207 7.142651 25.290679 67.588751 147.869470 295.489496
2026-03-22 0.051913 1.221999 7.130159 25.949165 70.500116 155.899785 314.039746